Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.050311e-03 0.001197 0.001345 0.001505 0.001672 0.001841 0.002025
2025-08-31 8.282988e-04 0.001038 0.001257 0.001500 0.001761 0.002031 0.002330
2025-09-07 6.753512e-04 0.000932 0.001209 0.001525 0.001871 0.002234 0.002642
2025-09-14 5.142531e-04 0.000798 0.001118 0.001492 0.001910 0.002356 0.002863
2025-09-21 4.181830e-04 0.000728 0.001088 0.001521 0.002012 0.002542 0.003149
2025-09-28 3.584198e-04 0.000693 0.001095 0.001587 0.002151 0.002766 0.003476
2025-10-05 2.771652e-04 0.000621 0.001051 0.001588 0.002215 0.002904 0.003704
2025-10-12 2.200168e-04 0.000572 0.001030 0.001614 0.002302 0.003065 0.003956
2025-10-19 1.546509e-04 0.000501 0.000975 0.001594 0.002334 0.003161 0.004133
2025-10-26 1.074676e-04 0.000447 0.000938 0.001592 0.002384 0.003275 0.004329
2025-11-02 6.420696e-05 0.000387 0.000887 0.001570 0.002407 0.003357 0.004486
2025-11-09 3.147692e-05 0.000332 0.000838 0.001546 0.002426 0.003432 0.004633
2025-11-16 3.569256e-07 0.000236 0.000733 0.001465 0.002396 0.003475 0.004774
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000182 0.000682 0.001453 0.002451 0.003618 0.005032
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000146 0.000657 0.001472 0.002544 0.003806 0.005343
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000096 0.000594 0.001437 0.002566 0.003911 0.005557
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000073 0.000577 0.001463 0.002666 0.004106 0.005876
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000063 0.000586 0.001527 0.002812 0.004357 0.006258
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000040 0.000554 0.001527 0.002876 0.004508 0.006524
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000026 0.000539 0.001552 0.002970 0.004693 0.006829
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000010 0.000498 0.001532 0.003004 0.004805 0.007046
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000002 0.000469 0.001530 0.003059 0.004942 0.007291
2026-01-25 NaN NaN 0.000431 0.001508 0.003087 0.005043 0.007494